Selection Sunday is suddenly just two weeks away.
With that in mind, Sporting News unveils its fourth Field of 68 for the upcoming NCAA men’s basketball tournament, which begins on March 15. This year’s Final Four is at the Caesars Superdome in New Orleans from April 2-4.
Each week, SN will update our tournament projections leading up to the Big Dance.
The top six teams in the country lost on Saturday, which means our No. 1 seed line actually didn’t change. Gonzaga, Arizona, Kansas and Auburn hold those spots, but the No. 2 line features a few teams that could steal a No. 1. Kentucky, Baylor, Duke and Texas Tech are very much in the mix. The Big Ten race between Purdue and Wisconsin also is worth watching.
We also will break down the tournament bubble each week. Right now our last four features Indiana, BYU, SMU and Florida, and there are several teams in the hunt.
Who is our Field of 68? Here is a closer look:
* – projected automatic bid
NCAA tournament Field of 68 projections
No. 1 Seeds
*Gonzaga (24-3, 13-1 WCC)
Resume: Net: 1, KenPom: 1. Bulldogs won’t play again until March 7 and are looking to win the WCC tournament for the ninth time in 10 seasons.
*Arizona (25-3, 15-2 Pac-12)
Resume: Net: 2, KenPom: 4. Wildcats can take control of the Pac-12 race with victory against USC on Tuesday, which would put the loss to Colorado in the rear-view mirror.
*Kansas (23-5, 12-3, Big 12)
Resume: Net: 6, KenPom: 7. The Big 12 champ is going to get a No. 1 seed. The only question is whether it’s going to be the Jayhawks or Baylor.
*Auburn (25-4, 13-3 SEC)
Resume: Net: 11, KenPom: 8. Auburn is 3-3 in its last six games, but can close strong ahead of the SEC tournament, where they can lock up a No. 1 seed.
No. 2 Seeds
Kentucky (23-5, 12-3 SEC)
Resume: Net: 3, KenPom: 3. Wildcats are the team most-likely to snag a No. 1 seed. Kentucky is 15-0 outside of Quad 1.
*Duke (25-4, 15-3 ACC)
Resume: Net: 9, KenPom: 5. Duke survived the upset weekend and is on track to snag a No. 2 seed as Mike Krzyzewski prepares for his last tournament run.
Baylor (25-5, 13-4 Big 12)
Resume: Net: 5, KenPom: 3, Bears took care of Kansas at home in an 80-70 victory, and they have a near-identical resume to the Jayhawks. A potential rubber-match in the Big 12 tournament will be the difference-maker.
Texas Tech (23-7, 12-5 Big 12)
Resume: Net: 10, KenPom: 9, The 69-67 loss to TCU on Saturday was a setback, and that might keep the Red Raiders on the No. 2 or No. 3 line as a result.
No. 3 Seeds
*Wisconsin (23-5, 14-4 Big Ten)
Resume: Net: 21, KenPom: 27. Badgers beat Purdue in the first meeting and can make their case to move up a line with a victory in the rematch with the Boilers.
Purdue (24-5, 13-5 Big Ten)
Resume: Net: 12, KenPom: 13. Purdue has 11 victories in Quad 1 or Quad 2 and still has higher rankings than the Badgers.
SN DRAFT LAB: Purdue’s Jaden Ivey
*Providence (24-3, 14-2 Big East)
Resume: Net: 25, KenPom: 39. Friars meet Villanova in the regular-season finale on Tuesday. Providence has a legit case for a No. 2 seed despite the rankings.
Villanova (21-7, 14-4 Big East)
Resume: Net: 8, KenPom: 11. Villanova is 6-6 in Quad 1 but 15-1 in the other three quadrants, which prevents them from significant line movement either way.
No. 4 seeds
Tennessee (21-7, 12-4 SEC)
Resume: Net: 9, KenPom: 10. Vols scored home wins against Kentucky and Auburn and can add Arkansas to that list this week.
Texas (21-8, 10-6 Big 12)
Resume: Net: 15, KenPom: 14. Longhorns have a tough final week against Baylor and Kansas, but they look secure in this spot.
Arkansas (23-6, 12-4 SEC)
Resume: Net: 23, KenPom: 20. Razorbacks are on a four-game win streak and can keep moving up with victories against LSU and Tennessee this week.
UCLA (22-6, 14-5 Pac-12)
Resume: Net: 13, KenPom: 10. Bruins can hold the line with a victory against rival USC on Saturday.
No. 5 seeds
*Houston (24-4, 13-2 AAC)
Resume: Net: 3, KenPom: 6. Opinions vary on Cougars’ seeding, but the strong Net/KenPom combo and recent tournament track record help. It’s still tough to gauge.
Illinois (20-8, 13-5 Big Ten)
Resume: Net: 14, KenPom: 16. Illini split with Ohio State and Michigan last week. Illinois is 11-8 against Quad 1 and Quad 2.
UConn (21-7, 12-5 Big East)
Resume: Net: 17, KenPom: 19. Huskies are riding a five-game winning streak heading into last week of Big East play.
Ohio State (18-8, 11-6 Big Ten)
Resume: Net: 20, KenPom: 23. A huge road victory at Illinois came before a tough loss to Maryland. That keeps the Buckeyes on this line for now.
No. 6 seeds
USC (25-4, 14-4 Pac-12)
Resume: Net: 26, KenPom: 32. Trojans have an underrated 10-3 record against Quad 1 and Quad 2. They easily could be seeded higher.
LSU (20-9, 8-8 SEC)
Resume: Net: 17, KenPom: 18. Tigers are 9-8 against Quad 1 and Quad 2, which keeps them confined to this seeding range.
Iowa (21-8, 11-7 Big Ten)
Resume: Net: 18, KenPom 15. Hawkeyes have won seven of their last eight games to shoot back up the Big Ten standings.
St. Mary’s (24-6, 12-3 WCC)
Resume: Net: 19, KenPom: 17. Gaels bump up a line after the victory against No. 1 Gonzaga, and they should stick here.
No. 7 seeds
Alabama (19-10, 9-7 SEC)
Resume: Net: 22, KenPom: 21. Crimson Tide have an 11-3 record outside Quad 1 that keeps them on this line.
Michigan State (19-9, 10-7 Big Ten)
Resume: Net: 33, KenPom: 34. Spartans can build on an impressive win against Purdue with road games at Michigan and Ohio State this week.
*Murray State (28-2, 18-0 OVC)
Resume: Net: 24, KenPom: 26. Racers are 9-2 against Quads 1, Quad 2 and Quad 3 heading into their conference tournament.
Marquette (18-10, 10-7 Big East)
Resume: Net: 34, KenPom: 36. Marquette is 9-7 against Quad 1 and Quad 2 but their Net/KenPom combination is appealing.
No. 8 seeds
Notre Dame (21-8, 14-4 ACC)
Resume: Net: 46, KenPom: 47. Irish’s rankings have improved despite a 5-7 record against Quad 1 and Quad 2.
Seton Hall (18-9, 9-8 Big East)
Resume: Net: 32, KenPom: 28. Pirates are trending upward with six wins in their last eight games, including a sweep of Xavier.
Iowa State (20-9, 7-9 Big 12)
Resume: Net: 35, KenPom: 31. Cyclones have taken advantage of a softer portion of the Big 12 schedule to move up the seeding ladder.
*Boise State (23-6, 14-2 MWC)
Resume: Net: 29, Ken Pom: 25. Broncos have an 11-5 record against Quad 1 or Quad 2 and are a dangerous first-weekend team waiting to happen.
No. 9 seeds
Colorado State (23-4, 13-4 MWC)
Resume: Net: 27, KenPom: 30. Rams close season with a home game against Boise State on Saturday, another opportunity to seal up an at-large bid.
Wyoming (23-5, 12-3 MWC)
Resume: Net: 39, KenPom: 46. Cowboys have maintained a 4-3 record against Quad 1 teams despite last week’s loss to Colorado State.
Creighton (19-9, 11-6 Big East)
Resume: Net: 67, KenPom: 68. Blue Jays have the lowest Net/KenPom combination of the Big East teams in the field as of now.
North Carolina (22-8, 14-5 ACC)
Resume: Net: 40, KenPom: 40. Tar Heels are 1-7 against Quad 1 teams but will get another opportunity at Duke on Saturday.
No. 10 seeds
Xavier (17-11, 7-10 Big East)
Resume: Net: 36, KenPom: 48. Musketeers’ ranking is sinking after four straight losses. They need to recalibrate against St. John’s and Georgetown.
Wake Forest (22-8, 12-7 ACC)
Resume: Net: 43, KenPom: 37. Deacons are off the bubble, but a 1-4 record against Quad 1 teams is less than ideal.
TCU (18-9, 7-8 Big 12)
Resume: Net: 49, KenPom: 51. Horned Frogs play Kansas twice this week, but a victory against Texas Tech should help ease the bubble talk.
*Davidson (24-4, 14-2 A-10)
Resume: Net: 45, KenPom: 45. Wildcats have consistent rankings and are 5-4 in Quad 1 and Quad 2.
No. 11 seeds
Miami (20-9, 12-6 ACC)
Resume: Net: 62, KenPom: 62. Hurricanes need to take care of business against Boston College and Syracuse on the road this week or it will get dicey.
San Francisco (23-8, 10-6 WCC)
Resume: Net: 28, KenPom: 24. Dons are by no means a lock, but we like their rankings and double-digit conference wins.
Memphis (17-9, 11-5 AAC)
Resume: Net: 42, KenPom: 35. The Tigers are on the edge along with SMU, and if that AAC tournament game happens, it could be for a tournament bid.
*North Texas (22-4, 15-1 C-USA)
Resume: Net: 38, KenPom: 41. Mean Green maintain a 5-3 record against Quad 1 and Quad 2. They will be a dangerous first-round opponent.
No. 12 seeds
Florida (18-11, 8-8 SEC)
Resume: Net: 51, KenPom: 55. Gators are squarely on the bubble with an iffy 8-10 record against Quad 1 and Quad 2.
Indiana (18-10, 9-9 Big Ten)
Resume: Net: 44, KenPom: 42. Hoosiers are 6-10 in Quad 1 and Quad 2. They have to beat Rutgers on Wednesday.
BYU (21-9, 9-6 WCC)
Resume: Net: 50, KenPom: 50. Cougars are the fourth team from the WCC in the Big Dance, and they might have to hold off some major conference schools such as Mississippi State and Michigan.
SMU (20-7, 11-4 AAC)
Resume: Net: 47, KenPom: 57. Mustangs missed a chance against Houston and are the easiest team to knock off this bubble right now.
*South Dakota State (27-4, 18-0 Summit)
Resume: Net: 71, KenPom: 69. Jackrabbits have won 18 straight games heading into the regular-season finale against Omaha. They are set to be the trendiest first-round upset pick.
*Vermont (24-5, 16-1 America East)
Resume: Net: 64, KenPom: 71. Catamounts continue to move up the bracket and are another dangerous first-round opponent.
No. 13 seeds
*Chattanooga (24-7, 14-4 Southern)
Resume: Net: 70, KenPom: 77
*Toledo (23-6, 15-3 MAC)
Resume: Net: 78, KenPom: 85
*Iona (24-5, 16-2 MAAC)
Resume: Net: 76, KenPom: 87
*Towson (23-7, 14-3 CAA)
Resume: Net: 59, KenPom: 63
No. 14 seeds
*New Mexico State (23-5, 13-3 WAC)
Resume: Net: 86, KenPom: 89
*Northern Iowa (18-10, 14-4 MVC)
Resume: Net: 97, KenPom: 91
*Princeton (21-5, 11-2, Ivy)
Resume: Net: 108, KenPom: 112
*Liberty (21-10, 12-4 A-Sun)
Resume: Net: 116, KenPom: 115
No. 15 seeds
*Texas State (21-6, 12-3 Sun Belt)
Resume: Net: 118, KenPom: 128
*Colgate (20-11, 16-2 Patriot)
Resume: Net: 137, KenPom: 133
*Montana State (21-7, 13-4 Big Sky)
Resume: Net: 134, KenPom: 138
*Cal State-Fullerton (17-9, 10-3 Big West)
Resume: Net: 156, KenPom: 149
No. 16 seeds
*Longwood (23-6, 15-1 Big South)
Resume: Net: 142, KenPom: 158
*Cleveland State (19-9, 15-6 Horizon)
Resume: Net: 175, KenPom: 193
*Norfolk State (19-6, 10-2 MEAC)
Resume: Net: 184, KenPom: 190
*Bryant (19-9, 16-2 Northeast)
Resume: Net: 218, KenPom: 197
*Texas Southern (14-11, 12-4 SWAC)
Resume: Net: 203, KenPom: 189
*Nicholls (19-10, 9-3 Southland)
Resume: Net: 193, KenPom: 211
Four on the bubble
Rutgers (16-12, 10-8 Big Ten)
Resume: Net: 83, KenPom: 76. Knights have lost three in a row, and a huge game against Indiana is coming Wednesday.
Michigan (15-12, 9-8 Big Ten)
Resume: Net: 37, KenPom: 38. Wolverines’ weekly dance on and off the bubble continues, and for now they are back off heading into a brutal season-ending stretch against Michigan State, Iowa and Ohio State.
Loyola-Chicago (22-7, 13-5 MVC)
Resume: Net: 31, KenPom: 29. The Ramblers are in a tricky spot with a 102-96 loss to Northern Iowa. Is there room for two MVC teams in the Big Dance?
Mississippi State (17-12, 8-8 SEC)
Resume: Net: 52, KenPom: 43. With a .500 record in SEC play and a decent Net/KenPom combination, it would be tough to leave the Bulldogs out.
Upcoming Bubble games to track
Kansas at TCU (Tuesday)
Michigan State at Michigan (Tuesday)
Rutgers at Indiana (Wednesday)
TCU at Kansas (Thursday)
Miami at Syracuse (Saturday)
Seton Hall at Creighton (Saturday)
Kentucky at Florida (Saturday)
Mississippi State at Texas A&M (Saturday)
Houston at Memphis (Sunday)