Seton Hall or TCU? How to pick 8 vs. 9 matchup in 2022 March Madness bracket

When it comes to making picks in your March Madness bracket, there aren’t many first-round matchups that will trip you up more than the 8 vs. 9 games.

These games always seem to be a coin flip between two similarly skilled teams, and the 8-9 matchup between Seton Hall and TCU in the 2022 NCAA Tournament is no different.

MORE: Print your 2022 March Madness bracket here

No. 8-seed Seton Hall earned quality wins during its non-conference schedule as it got to a 9-1 start to the set the tone for the season. The Pirates hit turbulence once they got into a tough Big East schedule but picked up momentum at the end of the season by earning five straight wins going into the conference tournament. They finished a strong 21-10 overall and went 11-8 in Big East play. They earned one win in the conference tournament before being eliminated by UConn in their second contest.

No. 9-seed TCU’s story wasn’t much different from Seton Hall’s. The Horned Frogs started the season 10-1 in non-conference play with some key road wins. Big 12 play wasn’t very kind to them overall (8-10 in the conference), but they earned bid-swinging wins late in the season. After knocking off a ranked Texas team in the Big 12 Tournament, TCU had sealed its fate despite coming up short in the semifinals to Kansas.

Which team will advance and likely face No. 1 seed Arizona in the second round? Sporting News has you covered with all the information you need to make a decision.

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Seton Hall vs. TCU odds

Seton Hall vs. TCU will take place Friday, March 18, in San Diego. According to Sports Interaction, Seton Hall is a slight favorite. Below are the details of the game, including the betting odds, time, TV and venue.

  • Odds: Seton Hall (-1)
  • Date: Friday, March 18
  • Time: 9:57 p.m. ET
  • TV: TruTV
  • Arena: Viejas Arena, San Diego

Seton Hall (21-10, 11-8 Big East)

Seton Hall tore through its non-conference schedule, starting the season 9-1 with wins over teams that were ranked in the top 10: Michigan (No. 4) and Texas (No. 7). The Pirates fell into a funk once they got into the thick of a tough Big East schedule but closed the season strong with five consecutive wins heading into their conference tournament to finish with a 21-10 overall record. Despite a second-round exit to UConn, Seton Hall had done enough to earn a bid.

  • NET ranking: 37
  • KenPom ranking: 35
  • Quad 1 record: 6-7
  • Quad 2 record: 3-3
  • Quad 3 record: 8-0
  • Quad 4 record: 3-0
  • Offensive efficiency ranking: 75
  • Defensive efficiency: 26

Key players

Jared Rhoden (6-6, 210-pound senior guard)

15.9 PTS, 6.8 REB, 1.2 AST, 1.2 STL

Myles Cale (6-6, 210-pound senior guard)

9.8 PTS, 4.0 REB, 1.5 STL, 1.0 AST

Kadary Richmond (6-6, 200-pound sophomore guard)

9.0 PTS, 4.1 AST, 3.6 REB, 1.6 STL

Alexis Yetna (6-8, 225-pound senior forward)

8.4 PTS, 7.8 REB

Ike Obiagu (7-2, 265-pound senior center)

2.6 PTS, 4.0 REB, 3.3 BLK

TCU (21-12, 8-10 Big 12)

The Horned Frogs jumped out to a roaring start this season, going 10-1 in non-conference play with road wins over Texas A&M and Georgetown. They finished under .500 in Big 12 play (8-10) but earned key wins over ranked teams Texas Tech (No. 9) and Kansas (No. 6) to close the year, and a victory over Texas (No. 22) in the conference tournament helped them secure a bid.

  • NET ranking: 45
  • KenPom ranking: 38
  • Quad 1 record: 8-8
  • Quad 2 record: 2-4
  • Quad 3 record: 4-0
  • Quad 4 record: 6-0
  • Offensive efficiency ranking: 108.2
  • Defensive efficiency: 93.3

Key players

Mike Miles (6-2, 195-pound sophomore guard)

15.0 PTS, 3.9 AST, 3.6 REB, 1.3 STL

Damion Baugh (6-4, 195-pound junior guard)

10.7 PTS, 4.4 AST, 4.3 REB, 1.3 STL

Emanuel Miller (6-7, 215-pound junior forward)

10.3 PTS, 6.3 REB

Chuck O’Bannon Jr. (6-6, 215-pound senior forward)

9.2 PTS, 4.1 REB

Eddie Lampkin (6-11, 268-pound sophomore center)

6.5 PTS, 6.0 REB

Seton Hall vs. TCU prediction

While TCU is playing some of their its basketball of the season at the right time, so is Seton Hall, and it appears to be the better team.

The Pirates won eight of their last 10 games heading into the Big East Tournament despite missing one of their most important players in senior guard Bryce Aiken, who has been out since Jan. 15 with a concussion. Rhoden, a first-team All-Big East selection, has stepped up in the absence of his backcourt mate. He is averaging nearly 16 points per game. TCU’s backcourt of Miles and Baugh will have their hands full trying to contain him.

The battle inside will be interesting as well as the 7-2 Obiagu goes head-to-head with the 6-11 Lampkin.

How those individual matchups play out could make all the difference, but the lean is to the higher-seeded Pirates in this one.

For more insight on this and every matchup, check out the TeamRankings Predictor Tool below. TeamRankings subscribers also receive access to customized, data-driven picks for their bracket pools.

HISTORY OF UPSETS BY SEED:
15 vs. 2 | 14 vs. 3 | 13 vs. 4 | 12 vs. 5

History of 8 vs. 9 matchups in the NCAA Tournament

The 8-9 matchup is historically one of the biggest “coin flip” selections of the NCAA Tournament. Eight-seeds have a slight advantage over 9-seeds with a 75-69 record all time. Last year, only one 9-seed pulled off an upset.

A recent history of 9-seeds upsetting 8-seeds in the first round of the NCAA Tournament:

Year Result
2021 Wisconsin 85, UNC 62
2020 No tournament
2019 UCF 73, VCU 58
  Baylor 78, Syracuse 69
  Oklahoma 95, Ole Miss 72
  Washington 78, Utah State 61
2018 Alabama 86, Virginia Tech 83
  Kansas State 69, Creighton 59
  Florida State 67, Missouri 54
2017 Michigan State 78, Miami 58
2016 Butler 71, Texas Tech 61
  Providence 70, USC 69
  Uconn 74, Colorado 67
2014 Pittsburgh 77, Colorado 48
2013 Temple 76, NC State 72
  Wichita State 73, Pittsburgh 55
2012 St. Louis 61, Memphis 54
2011 Illinois 73, UNLV 62
2010 Wake Forest 81, Texas 80
  Northern Iowa 69, UNLV 66
2009 Siena 74, Ohio State 72
  Texas A&M 79, BYU 66

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